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🔥 Strong Signals
8
⚡ Opportunities
15
📊 Markets Analyzed
How to Read Signals
Strong Signal 7%+ difference — Oracle sees major edge vs crowd
Opportunity 3-7% difference — Potential edge worth watching
Aligned <3% difference — Oracle agrees with market
🌐 All 15 🏛️ Politics 4 📊 Economics 0 🏆 Awards 0 🌦️ Weather 1
🌦️ Weather Strong Signal
What will happen before GTA VI?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Market Says
62.0%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
49.2%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 12.8% lower than market
Factor Analysis
Satellite Data ↓ 3.8%
Historical ↑ 1.7%
News Alerts ↓ 3.8%
Expert Models ↓ 6.9%
🏛️ Politics Strong Signal
Trump cabinet member out by...?

Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?

Market Says
35.5%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
46.7%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 11.2% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Polls ↑ 7.5%
News Sentiment ↓ 1.3%
Social Buzz ↑ 7.5%
Historical ↓ 2.5%
🏛️ Politics Strong Signal
What will happen before GTA VI?

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Market Says
50.5%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
59.8%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 9.3% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Polls ↑ 6.4%
News Sentiment ↑ 1.2%
Social Buzz ↑ 6.7%
Historical ↓ 5.0%
🏛️ Politics Strong Signal
Trump cabinet member out by...?

Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?

Market Says
67.0%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
74.1%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 7.1% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Polls ↑ 6.4%
News Sentiment ↓ 1.8%
Social Buzz ↑ 7.5%
Historical ↓ 5.0%
📈 Other Opportunity
Harvey Weinstein prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Market Says
48.9%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
54.2%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 5.3% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 5.3%
📈 Other Opportunity
NFL Protector of the Year

Will Trent Williams win the NFL Protector of the Year?

Market Says
46.2%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
50.4%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 4.2% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 4.2%
📈 Other Opportunity
NFC Champion

Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?

Market Says
43.7%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
47.7%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 4.0% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 4.0%
🏛️ Politics Opportunity
Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Market Says
40.0%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
43.7%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 3.7% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Polls ↑ 1.7%
News Sentiment ↓ 0.4%
Social Buzz ↑ 7.4%
Historical ↓ 5.0%
📈 Other Opportunity

Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?

Market Says
59.0%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
62.7%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 3.7% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 3.7%
📈 Other Opportunity
Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Market Says
49.5%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
52.5%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 3.0% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 3.0%
📈 Other Opportunity
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Market Says
41.1%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
44.1%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 3.0% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 3.0%
📈 Other Opportunity
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Market Says
54.5%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
57.5%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 3.0% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 3.0%
📈 Other Aligned
What will happen before GTA VI?

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Market Says
48.5%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
51.4%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 2.9% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 2.9%
📈 Other Aligned
What will happen before GTA VI?

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Market Says
51.5%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
54.4%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 2.9% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 2.9%
📈 Other Aligned
What will happen before GTA VI?

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Market Says
48.5%
Polymarket
VS
Oracle Says
51.4%
Algorithmic Oracle
Oracle is 2.9% higher than market
Factor Analysis
Analysis ↑ 2.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Event Oracle?

The Event Oracle is a self-learning prediction system that analyzes prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) and compares crowd-sourced odds with our algorithmic predictions. We use weighted factors specific to each category (politics, economics, awards, weather) to find potential edges.

How does the self-learning work?

Every prediction is logged with its factor breakdown. When markets resolve, we compare our Oracle's prediction to the actual outcome. Factors that consistently predict correctly get higher weights; factors that underperform get reduced weights. The system automatically adjusts every few hours.

What do the signals mean?

Strong Signal (7%+ difference): Oracle significantly disagrees with market - potential major mispricing. Opportunity (3-7%): Moderate disagreement worth watching. Aligned (<3%): Oracle agrees with market consensus.

Where does the data come from?

We pull real-time odds from Polymarket (decentralized prediction market) and Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Our Oracle adds analysis on top using category-specific factors like polls, economic data, critic reviews, and weather models.