CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-10

Boise St vs Fresno St Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Oct 10 10:30 PM.

📊 SPREAD VALUE

SPREAD VALUE: Take Fresno St +5.5

50.1% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
Fresno St: Last 5: 4-1; Boise St: Last 5: 4-1
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Fresno St
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Boise St -5.5
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
Open-Meteo: 90°F, 8 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Fresno St 5.90, Boise St 6.33 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: Fresno St +1.4, Boise St +11.6

No exact matchup market is currently listed