CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-23

Duke vs Virginia Prediction

Scheduled for Fri Oct 23 7:00 PM.

Model projects: Duke

54.0% model estimate, not a calibrated probability.

No verified market odds for this game; no betting recommendation is available.

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 24.8% weight
Virginia: Last 5: 1-4; Duke: Last 5: 4-1
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 30.7% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Virginia
Market line · Not used
No verified pregame odds available
Kickoff weather · 6.6% weight
Open-Meteo: 57°F, 1 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 13.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Virginia 6.25, Duke 6.47 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 24.7% weight
ESPN FPI: Virginia -0.5, Duke +8.0

No exact matchup market is currently listed