CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-22

East Carolina vs Memphis Prediction

Scheduled for Thu Oct 22 7:30 PM.

Model projects: Memphis

63.2% model estimate, not a calibrated probability.

No verified market odds for this game; no betting recommendation is available.

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 24.8% weight
Memphis: Last 5: 4-1; East Carolina: Last 4: 2-2
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 30.7% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Memphis
Market line · Not used
No verified pregame odds available
Kickoff weather · 6.6% weight
Open-Meteo: 64°F, 6 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 13.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Memphis 7.98, East Carolina 5.58 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 24.7% weight
ESPN scoring margin: Memphis +16.2, East Carolina -1.2

No exact matchup market is currently listed