CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-09

Florida St vs Louisville Prediction

Scheduled for Fri Oct 9 7:00 PM.

📊 SPREAD VALUE

SPREAD VALUE: Take Florida St +3.5

50.6% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
Louisville: Last 4: 2-2; Florida St: Last 5: 4-1
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Louisville
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Louisville -3.5
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
OpenWeather: 75°F, 5 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Louisville 5.20, Florida St 7.12 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: Louisville +13.5, Florida St +15.2

No exact matchup market is currently listed