CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-17

Fresno St vs San Diego St Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Oct 17 10:30 PM.

📊 SPREAD VALUE

SPREAD VALUE: Take San Diego St +7.5

56.6% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
San Diego St: Last 5: 1-4; Fresno St: Last 5: 4-1
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for San Diego St
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Fresno St -7.5
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
OpenWeather: 78°F, 7 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: San Diego St 4.58, Fresno St 6.03 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: San Diego St -10.5, Fresno St +1.0

No exact matchup market is currently listed