CFB ORACLE · 2026-11-14

Fresno St vs Texas St Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Nov 14 4:00 PM.

Model projects: Texas St

56.0% model estimate, not a calibrated probability.

No verified market odds for this game; no betting recommendation is available.

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 26.5% weight
Texas St: Last 5: 3-2; Fresno St: Last 5: 3-2
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 32.9% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Texas St
Market line · Not used
No verified pregame odds available
Kickoff weather · Not used
Forecast unavailable or not relevant indoors
Current-season efficiency · 14.1% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Texas St 5.45, Fresno St 5.76 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 26.5% weight
ESPN scoring margin: Texas St +11.6, Fresno St +6.7

No exact matchup market is currently listed