CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-24

Iowa State vs Arizona Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Oct 24 12:00 AM.

📊 SPREAD VALUE

SPREAD VALUE: Take Iowa State +10

50.6% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
Arizona: Last 5: 3-2; Iowa State: Last 5: 4-1
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Arizona
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Arizona -10.0
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
Open-Meteo: 74°F, 7 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Arizona 6.29, Iowa State 6.54 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: Arizona -0.2, Iowa State +13.1

No exact matchup market is currently listed