CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-09

Iowa State vs BYU Prediction

Scheduled for Fri Oct 9 10:15 PM.

📊 SPREAD VALUE

SPREAD VALUE: Take Iowa State +10.5

59.2% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
BYU: Last 4: 4-0; Iowa State: Last 5: 4-1
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for BYU
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: BYU -10.5
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
OpenWeather: 72°F, 3 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: BYU 6.81, Iowa State 6.24 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: BYU +14.9, Iowa State +11.9

No exact matchup market is currently listed