CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-17

North Carolina vs Duke Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Oct 17 3:30 PM.

📈 LEAN

LEAN: Take Duke to WIN

56.7% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
Duke: Last 5: 4-1; North Carolina: Last 5: 3-2
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Duke
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Duke -3.0
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
OpenWeather: 57°F, 14 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Duke 6.47, North Carolina 5.88 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: Duke +8.0, North Carolina +8.6

No exact matchup market is currently listed