CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-17

North Carolina vs Duke Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Oct 17 12:00 AM.

Model projects: Duke

61.4% model estimate, not a calibrated probability.

No verified market odds for this game; no betting recommendation is available.

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 24.8% weight
Duke: Last 4: 4-0; North Carolina: Last 4: 2-2
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 30.7% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Duke
Market line · Not used
No verified pregame odds available
Kickoff weather · 6.6% weight
Open-Meteo: 54°F, 4 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 13.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Duke 6.76, North Carolina 6.01 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 24.7% weight
ESPN FPI: Duke +9.6, North Carolina +6.7

No exact matchup market is currently listed