CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-08

South Alabama vs Arkansas St Prediction

Scheduled for Thu Oct 8 7:30 PM.

💎 VALUE BET

VALUE BET: Take South Alabama +1.5

59.5% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
Arkansas St: Last 5: 2-3; South Alabama: Last 5: 5-0
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Arkansas St
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Arkansas St -1.5
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
OpenWeather: 78°F, 3 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Arkansas St 4.81, South Alabama 7.22 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: Arkansas St +0.8, South Alabama +27.0

No exact matchup market is currently listed