CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-10

UAB vs Memphis Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Oct 10 7:00 PM.

📊 SPREAD VALUE

SPREAD VALUE: Take UAB +14

65.8% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
Memphis: Last 5: 4-1; UAB: Last 5: 3-2
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Memphis
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Memphis -14.0
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
OpenWeather: 62°F, 16 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Memphis 7.98, UAB 5.17 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: Memphis +3.6, UAB -13.9