CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-17

UMass vs Buffalo Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Oct 17 1:00 PM.

📊 SPREAD VALUE

SPREAD VALUE: Take UMass +7

57.0% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
Buffalo: Last 5: 2-3; UMass: Last 5: 3-2
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Buffalo
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Buffalo -7.0
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
OpenWeather: 71°F, 4 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Buffalo 5.30, UMass 6.11 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: Buffalo -0.4, UMass -13.6

No exact matchup market is currently listed