CFB ORACLE · 2026-10-10

USC vs Penn State Prediction

Scheduled for Sat Oct 10 7:30 PM.

📈 LEAN

LEAN: Take Penn State to WIN

52.3% model estimate, not a calibrated probability

Factors behind this estimate

Weights are normalized across available inputs. Missing factors have no weight; this estimate is not a guarantee.

Recent results · 21.0% weight
Penn State: Last 5: 3-2; USC: Last 5: 4-1
Injuries · Not used
Injury report unavailable for one or both teams
Home field · 26.0% weight
Baseline home-field adjustment for Penn State
Market line · 15.3% weight
ESPN: Penn State -1.5
Kickoff weather · 5.6% weight
OpenWeather: 57°F, 6 mph wind
Current-season efficiency · 11.2% weight
ESPN offensive yards/play: Penn State 6.10, USC 6.65 (not opponent-adjusted SP+)
Independent matchup strength · 20.9% weight
ESPN FPI: Penn State +13.7, USC +14.2